• gregladen posted a new activity comment 3 years, 5 months ago

    That is an excellent, pass-around-in-class-able rundown on Bayes Theorem.

    But I want to know more about the 15% of new Skepchick bloggers that turn out to be spies. That’s not really true, is it?

    For one thing, only a certain percentage of spies are ever uncovered. Maybe one in 10. So, that 15% is subject to further analysis…

    • I think I know where the 15% number came from. I think it’s the posterior estimate of the probability of being a spy after observing how suave, sophisticated, witty, and charming your typical Skepchick is. See, spies are known for being all of the above, P(suave | spy) = 1. Based on my totally great guessing skills, I estimate the number of…[Read more]

  • gregladen posted a new activity comment 3 years, 7 months ago

    I think this needs to be a matrix and not a list. Which could then be easily converted into a Bingo Card.

    • Rape Rate Bingo? Should we play it at the same time as the Dawkins-rape-excuse drinking game? Then, we’ll all be too drunk to feel sick from the rape apology. The way these things are spewing out, though, we might all die from alcohol poisoning.

  • Is there any evidence or reasonable suspicion that the original complaints were from the usual suspects?

    I’ve never been to Dragon Con (or any con but CONvergence) so I can’t directly relate but I can imagine […]